# Special Situations Research — Catalyst-Driven Plays ## Objective: Build Tactical Sleeve (3-12 month holds, pre-defined exits) ## Generated: 2026-05-09 --- ## Screening Criteria - **Position size:** 2-4% max per name - **Holding period:** 3-12 months with explicit catalyst date - **Entry:** Quantifiable setup with defined risk/reward - **Exit protocol:** Target (thesis confirmation), Stop (thesis invalidation), Time stop (catalyst passes without reaction) - **Anti-PLTR protocol:** Pre-written re-entry plan for any tax-loss sale - **Exclusions:** Open-ended growth, pre-revenue speculation, leverage required --- ## Sector Targets 1. **Biotech/Pharma:** PDUFA dates, label expansions, trial readouts (Matt has domain knowledge) 2. **Fintech:** Re-rating events, earnings inflections, regulatory clarity 3. **Energy Transition:** Uranium restarts, grid infrastructure, nuclear renaissance 4. **AI Infrastructure:** Deployment timelines, capex inflections, customer concentration resolution 5. **Special Situations:** Spinoffs, M&A arb, sum-of-parts unlocks --- ## Research Queue - [ ] Biotech PDUFA calendar Q2-Q4 2026 - [ ] Fintech earnings surprises / guidance inflections - [ ] Uranium spot price + utility contracting timeline - [ ] AI datacenter capex cycle — customer concentration names - [ ] Spinoff pipeline 2026 --- *Next: Populate with 5-10 quantified candidates*